• 投资
  • 2021年07月09 日

信贷投资:如何把握私募债券投资热潮

虽然在疫情期间私募股权市场反弹引发市场广泛关注,但随之而来的私募信贷市场加速增长却经常被忽视。

面对国债、公司债券及其他形式的公募债券市场持续低迷的收益率,全球投资者已逐渐放弃传统的收益来源,转而从其他渠道寻求更理想的回报。

事实上,私募债券的上涨轨迹与私募股权类似。根据Preqin的数据,私募信贷市场2016年底的价值约为5,750亿美元。截至2020年底,该市场已增长至8,480亿美元。预计私募债券市场将以每年超过11%的速度增长,到2025年底达到1.46万亿美元。

根据2020年私募信贷基金情报调查,约三分之二的中介机构计划在2021年下半年增加对私募信贷的配置,而亚洲市场的增速尤其快。

新加坡银行私募市场与另类投资主管Chee Jiun Wen表示:“在过去十年中,私募信贷市场不仅发展成为被大众接受的资产类别,而且对于将私募信贷视为一种灵活资本替代产品,来替代公开交易固定收益产品的投资者而言,该类资产也逐渐成为一项重要的战略配置。”“私募信贷贷款人已填补商业银行退场留下的空白,而私募信贷的回报表现、对冲利率上升的浮动利率保护机制以及与传统风险资产之间的低相关性等特征,得以让投资者被该类资产吸引。”

传统贷款收紧

是什么推动了这种趋势加速发展?全球市场预期疫情后政府将逐步退出刺激措施和流动性措施,这为私募债券市场创造了理想的投资环境。虽然全球各国央行在疫情期间介入拯救陷入困境的企业,但在很多情况下,这些救助方案延迟了违约发生的时间,从而增加了未来大量不良贷款的投资机会。

Chee表示:“目前评估这些措施的长期影响可能还为时过早。但如果基金经理能够把握这些不良贷款的投资机会,投资者一般能从投资组合中获利。本行认为,无论市场是否普遍出现不良贷款,该市场的优秀私募信贷经理都能不断找到另类投资机会。”

随着刺激措施逐渐退场,现金需求较大的企业开始为疫情后的扩张或业务复苏寻觅资金,而由于传统贷款人收紧放贷条件,这些企业将更有可能转向私募债券市场。更严格的资本充足率监管要求迫使贷款人储备更多资金,而低利率也限制了贷款人从贷款中获得的利润。

由于各地企业仍需资金,这就让私募信贷有机会填补这一空白。传统银行目前提高了最低贷款门槛,而很多中小企贷款将达不到新的门槛要求。

私募股权的繁荣发展同时也刺激私募贷款的发展,私募贷款不仅提供了更快捷简便的交易潜力,而且还消除了与承销商、评级机构和监管机构进行冗长谈判的环节,同时无须应对公开路演和市场情绪等不确定性因素。

因此,寻求更高收益、多元化和投资灵活性的投资者,现在将有更多产品选择,从更单一的直接贷款、定制化夹层融资,到不良信贷投资和其他一些另类收益来源。

新加坡银行投资顾问和销售主管Fidelis Oruche表示:“即使只是复杂程度较低的直接贷款策略,投资者的投资组合也能获得增值。根据以往经验,这些贷款的收益率高于公开市场的产品。其久期较短(因此对利率变动的敏感度较低),而且通常约定了最低浮动利率,因此在利率上升时期将会提供更大的保障。这些贷款还可能包括赎回保障和提前还款罚金。”

风险和回报

对投资者的吸引力显而易见。首先,私募信贷投资的收益率通常高于公司债券的收益率。私募贷款人通常能够通过谈判增加对贷款条款的控制权,这意味着他们可以更好地防范风险,并且通常只面向少数贷款人而不是大型银团,因此在发生违约时收回资本的机会更高。

投资者风险偏好的普遍提高增加了私募贷款的吸引力。在目前的低息环境下,很多投资者通过接受更高的风险来获得回报,包括与私募债券挂钩的传统低流动性产品。

但与私募股权投资一样,投资者面临的挑战同样是如何进入这一复杂的市场,以及如何获取全球渠道,利用这些投资机会变现。私募信贷也需要特定的专业知识;基金经理有能力对公司进行评估,且能够在通常定制化贷款的谈判中平衡各方需求。

Oruche表示:“私募信贷具有结构性特征,可提供具吸引力的风险回报表现。例如,私募贷款在资本结构中往往具有相对较高索偿地位,通常以物业、厂房或设备为担保,并有实质性的契约。

投资者仍然渴望获得额外的收益来源——但同时也需要避免过度激进,避免为了获取收益而承担高于其自身能力的风险。”

专业知识的广度

新加坡银行拥有驾驭该市场所需的广泛专业知识。

本行与顶级基金经理合作,能够接触各类私募信贷投资机会,包括与一家领先的优质信贷投资公司合作,建立定制化的正常信贷和不良信贷杠铃投资策略,基金投资从专注私募型优先担保贷款到投资成熟、有资金支持的公司不等。新加坡银行也同时关注固定收益以外的收益来源,寻求相关性低的替代收益来源,包括普通合伙人股权投资和收益型私人基础设施投资等策略。

Chee表示:“虽然私募信贷持续吸引广泛的投资者,但此类投资本身的低流动性,对很多投资者来说就是一个投资门槛。因此,新加坡银行为客户积极开发混合信贷投资策略,为投资者提供类似的私募信贷结构优势,但同时也提供定期的流动性。

最后,本行认为,管理完善且多元化的私募信贷投资组合,可为长线投资者提供强劲而稳健的回报。”

新加坡银行与Bloomberg Media Studio  联合制作

同系列文章:

1 Preqin

新加坡银行与Bloomberg Media Studio  联合制作

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