• 投资
  • 2021年07月14 日

对冲基金:需求再度升温

不久前,市场普遍认为对冲基金行业到了“穷途末路”。随着股市创牛市记录,投资者纷纷将资金投入到低成本被动型指数跟踪产品中,基金经理“2和20”(2%管理费和20%绩效分成)这一收费模式的日子似乎已屈指可数。在2017年至2019年的三年内,约2000亿美元的投资资本退出对冲基金。1

但这一猜测言之过早。对冲基金从疫情危机中获得了几乎前所未有的优势,尽管不确定性持续存在,但2021年资金大量涌入该行业。对冲基金资产在2021年6月达到4.07万亿美元历史新高2,过去12个月交易利润飙升至超过5500亿美元3,为2008年金融危机前以来的最强劲表现。

对于高净值投资者而言,对冲基金具有相当大的吸引力,尤其是目前股市似乎更加不稳定且通胀担忧开始加剧的情况下。

更大的灵活性

与许多传统投资选择相比,对冲基金的灵活性更大,部分原因是这类投资不会受到相同水平的监管。对冲基金也提供了更多分散投资风险的机会;基金经理能够配置更多类型的策略,以降低风险,扩大回报,因此在市场波动和不确定性大的时期尤其灵活。

例如,高效的对冲基金经理能够把握当前投资者情绪的风向变化——投资者兴趣从成长股转向价值股,ESG投资的兴起,特殊目的收购公司 (SPAC) 的繁荣发展,资金重新流入债券基金,新兴市场乐观情绪重现——而且他对相关趋势变化的把控能力超越专注于某一基金主题或策略的基金经理。

新加坡银行对冲基金和流动性另类投资主管Peter Gray表示:“对冲基金提供的投资策略和投资风格远比纯多头投资多得多,因此这类投资是一种非常有效的多元化投资工具。对冲基金头寸的做空和杠杆能力也提供了不同于传统资产的回报来源。对冲基金经理可在很大程度上不受限制地进行投资,而对冲基金的这种自由度和灵活性让投资组合能够投资于普通投资组合平时难以接触甚至无法进入的金融工具、衍生品和市场。”

相关风险

然而,近期的利润大幅飙升可能掩盖潜在风险,投资者仍需谨慎。

一些基金采用高度集中的投资策略,这使其面临同样集中的损失。虽然对冲基金操作灵活,但其快速入场和退出的能力并不适用于普通投资者,投资者的资金通常会被锁定一段时间。

此外,该行业对杠杆和多空策略的使用,仍会让对冲基金容易遭受重大损失,甚至崩盘。最近的例子,如Archegos资本管理公司的倒闭和游戏驿站激进分子的攻击,突显了这方面的脆弱,因此基金经理和战略选择的重要性不言而喻。

挑选合适的基金经理

虽然对冲基金普遍的灵活性能够让最有能力的基金经理收入颇丰,但对于不够勤勉的基金经理而言,惩罚也不小。因此,投资者需通过严格的流程来评估对冲基金和基金经理。

Gray表示,“利用杠杆操作、做空和投资于低流动性证券,会产生高于共同基金的投资风险。因此,在研究对冲基金时,与行业内能力最强且具有风险意识的经理合作至关重要。同一辆高性能的跑车,在一个富有才华且经验丰富的一级方程式赛车手手中,可以发挥出令人惊叹的出色表现,但在一个技术不过关的业余车手手中,则可能很快会出事故。”

新加坡银行在全球范围内拥有专属的基金经理网络,由一支富有经验的团队监督,该团队已审查100多只对冲基金,历史业绩显示这些基金对传统资产敏感度较低,且在高波动环境下表现强劲。

新加坡银行的优势

新加坡银行采取差异化策略构建投资组合,遵循稳健的投资框架,以识别真正具有差异化的基金经理并对其进行尽职调查(包括不接受新投资者申购的新起之秀和成熟的“顶级”基金经理)。

Gray表示:“对冲基金投资的关键在于基金经理获取超额回报的能力。定义超额回报的方法有很多种,但总体来说,可将其视为基金经理在证券和投资时机选择方面的技能。即使策略相同,不同的经理在一段时间后的投资表现也会出现差异。因此,本行始终建议投资者尝试在其对冲基金投资组合中至少维持一定程度的分散投资,以提高整个投资周期的回报并降低单一基金经理的风险。”

“本行在世界各地多个金融中心都拥有业务,这有助于本行始终掌握对冲基金领域的最新动态。例如,本行在香港设有一家分支机构,员工对该地区非常熟悉,使本行能够密切追踪以中国为中心的对冲基金。本行的很多客户本身都参与了资产管理甚至对冲基金投资,因此本行能够与他们随时沟通和交流意见,也对我们掌握最新时事非常有用。”

同系列文章:

1 Hedgeweek2 Hedgeweek3 BarclayHedge;

    新加坡银行与Bloomberg Media Studio  联合制作

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