• 投资
  • 2020年05月29 日

兼益事业:投资ESG的意义

ESG - 三项指导原则

随着现有可持续投资方式不断演变,我们已经提炼出三个关键原则,以协助投资者基于ESG的考虑因素进行投资:

1. 评估ESG因素是稳健投资过程中不可或缺的一部分,而非一项独立的投资规则

ESG投资的核心理念是,将ESG因素纳入投资过程可以使投资者更全面地了解企业和政府所面临的风险和机遇。这使投资者能够更好地评估与任何投资相关的风险和机遇。将ESG因素纳入投资过程可以使投资者作更周全的考虑,为改善投资决策提供额外启示。

在目前由专业投资界进行ESG整合的初期阶段,由于市場仍不甚了解和清晰定义各种ESG因素,潜在的长期ESG价值有待发掘。例如,根据全球可持续投资联盟(GSIA)最近于2019年12月发布的一项全球投资专业人士调查显示,绝大多数(87%)受访者不相信市场持续和正确地将气候风险计入企业和行业的估值。

2. ESG考虑因素主要是围绕能否达到长期的风险调整后回报

专注于长期风险调整后投资回报是财富管理的一个重要原则。

作为帮助实现长期财务目标(如筹划子女教育和家庭未来)的投资客户的专家,我们的目标是将客户的投资组合设计为可以长远获益,而非着重短期回报,因为投资不当的成本会随时间显现,使客户面临风险。旨在长期经营的企业会考虑其对环境的影响,以及如何对待其利益相关者,包括监管者、雇员、承包商和供应商。随着时间的推移,该等企业会更有能力为股东及债券持有人带来可持续回报。

3. ESG投资不是一个简单的二元决定;投资者应该选择最符合他们目标和偏好的投资方式

我们必须从一开始就需要知道,可持续投资有多种方式。理想的投资方式最终需要与投资者的目标和偏好保持一致,正如投资者会按照其风险偏好和长期财务目标设计最佳的资产投资组合一样。简而言之,单一的ESG投资方式不会适合所有投资者,投资方式合适与否取决于可否正确识别个人目标和偏好。附图1显示了现有多种ESG投资方式的不同分类。

附图1:兼益事业 - 不同的投资理念

资料来源:新加坡银行

重要的是,对于直接投资于以符合ESG目标优先于赚取利润的社会企业的投资者(在附图1最后所示的影响力投资或慈善事业),仍然可以从将ESG因素全面地整合到投资决策中受益。

ESG数据中隐藏通常不会报告但对估值重要的因素(如商业声誉),并提供不易透过传统财务指标观察得到的见解。通过将这些考虑因素纳入投资分析,加上可从关键非财务因素确定的额外风险和回报来源,投资者便可作出更好的投资决策。

随着更高质的ESG指标和行业标准的出现,以及更多专注于ESG的产品的推出,我们看到投资者有越来越多的机会使他们投资组合的设计更紧密地与可持续发展偏好和目标保持一致。

我们的ESG实践

我们采用一致的ESG整合方式,允许我们的投资专家、研究分析师和投资组合经理将ESG量化数据中所得对可持续性的见解与量化分析相结合,并使用他们的专业判断为不同ESG指标分配适当的权重,正如他们制定传统财务指标一样。

我们的可持续投资方式具前瞻性过渡性。在评估投资机会时,我们不仅考虑企业或政府当前和过去的ESG概况,还考虑对其未来发展轨迹的评估结果。

这意味着,我们将透过当前ESG领先企业和ESG落后企业所采用与可持续发展相关的明确目标,以及其朝着这些目标所取得的进展,来评估它们的表现。

简而言之,从ESG的角度来看,我们不会自动放弃投资当前的落后企业。只要我们评估这些企业有可能成功适应不断发展的消费者偏好和与可持续经济相关的法规,它们仍具投资价值。

我们的做法与传统投资中一个公认的概念紧密相连,即已经开始复苏的企业的股票或债券虽然表现欠佳,但往往为耐心的投资者提供了极好的投资机会。

这一细致的投资方式尤其适用于在亚洲大部分地区和其他全球新兴市场寻找机会的投资者,而该等市场是我们的核心专业领域。在该等地区,以ESG为重点的监管、数据收集和披露范畴仍处于早期发展阶段。

中的ESG发展

现今企业会受不同的ESG因素影响,当中既存在风险,也存在机会,而ESG因素又会影响股票估值。考虑到每个行业固有的特质,ESG因素的影响就不同的行业而言有很大差异。各ESG因素亦须透过个别企业所处的特定行业及地区进行分析。

例如,与碳排放、能源消耗、耗水强度、污染和环境退化有关的监管和声誉风险与化石燃料生产(石油和天然气、热煤)、采矿、发电、汽车以及水泥和化学品制造等传统排放密集型行业最为相关。

同样,对农业、食品生产、奢侈品和服装制造业等行业而言,所承受与可持续土地使用、劳工惯例、员工健康和安全、产品责任和道德采购相关的风险往往更大。

投资者还应了解相关企业的政策和行为,以控制或减轻所承受的重大风险。潜在风险因素的存在时间也是另一主要考虑因素。

我们的分析师和投资组合经理已经考虑到了上述因素,并已将该等因素反映在用于财务预测、贴现率(当采用贴现现金流方式进行估值时)的假设以及我们对企业前景评估中的定性评论中。

固定收益中的ESG发展

在固定收益方面,我们认为新兴市场在ESG全面整合方面的发展仍未成熟。首先,与发达市场国家相比,大多数新兴市场国家都处于ESG的初步发展阶段。这因此意味着,ESG监管法例仍然不符合标准,而ESG信息的披露有限,不同债券发行者的标准通常都不一致。企业治理风险尤其仍然普遍存在,因为私人的发行者数量众多,透明度甚为有限。

尽管目前ESG发展仍见落后,但正在取得进展。企业更加关注ESG因素,并提高了对ESG的认识,也更积极讨论相关的可行性。评级机构也在将ESG因素纳入其信用评级标准。于2019年,穆迪在其三分之一的私营企业评级行动中将ESG风险列为重要信用质量考虑因素,其中 19%为下调行动,12%为上调行动。

我们认为,投资者应该采取分阶段的方式,将ESG因素纳入他们的固定收益投资组合的设计方针中。鉴于目前的限制,排除投资对象的方式在固定收益方面将特别备受限制。因此,我们建议热衷于增加可持续发展投资组合的投资者,可寻求投资于在ESG因素方面领先同业的企业,而不是完全排除投资于特定行业或国家。

在我们目前的框架中,ESG因素融入了关键信用质量考虑标准和发行人信用质量的评估标准。这些都是我们在分析宏观经济、行业和金融因素时所考虑的因素。我们还会在与客户沟通过程中强调相关风险因素。关注这些因素可以帮助客户规避其固定收益投资组合中的高风险领域。企业治理方面的考虑(包括领导素质、政治稳定以及主要公共机构和监管机构的实力)一直是我们评估新兴市场信贷投资的一部分。

展望未来

最近疫情表明,投资者需要加强防范企业和整个社会的长期可持续性风险。席卷全球的疫情反映出,即使在发达经济体,财富、生活条件和社会保障、医疗保健和日常必需品领域的不平等问题也在加剧。随之而来的全球经济停摆也给企业带来了巨大的运营风险。对于许多企业来说,供应链的完整性和灵活性,以及员工关系和危机管理的能力,突然前所未有地成为各界的焦点。

我们看到,这场危机正在加速ESG概念兴起的趋势。我们预计,对企业环境和社会影响的高度关注将在危机消退后很长的一段时间内持续下去。我们希望本文所述的原则将帮助我们的客户更好地了解ESG,并最终能与投资策略更紧密地结合。

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